Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 16
Gent
GEN
Royal Antwerp
ROY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gent46%
Draw27%
Royal Antwerp27%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.14
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.9%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
39%Possession51%
28%Territory37%
8%From set plays33%
0.16Chance quality0.18
6.2%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Gent, 2 for Royal Antwerp. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.