Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 16
Genk
GEK
Lommel
LOM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Genk59%
Draw23%
Lommel18%
Expected goals
1.87 – 0.97
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.6%
- 1–110.6%
- 2–010.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 0–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
64%Possession58%
49%Territory36%
50%From set plays32%
0.11Chance quality0.08
5.9%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Genk, 2 for Lommel. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.