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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 16

Club Brugge

CLU

Sporting Charleroi

SPO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Club Brugge42%
Draw26%
Sporting Charleroi31%

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.33

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–17.7%
  • 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

65%Possession58%
40%Territory33%
10%From set plays9%
0.16Chance quality0.12
3.7%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Club Brugge, 2 for Sporting Charleroi. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.