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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 16

Club Brugge

CLU

Sporting Charleroi

SPO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Club Brugge40%
Draw27%
Sporting Charleroi33%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.31

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.2%
  • 109.6%
  • 218.6%
  • 018.6%
  • 127.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

57%Possession53%
41%Territory37%
31%From set plays37%
0.10Chance quality0.12
3.9%Directness7.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Club Brugge, 3 for Sporting Charleroi. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.