Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 16
Anderlecht
AND
St.Truiden
STT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Anderlecht39%
Draw29%
St.Truiden33%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.21
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–09.1%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession56%
47%Territory38%
19%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.13
3.3%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Anderlecht, 4 for St.Truiden.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.