Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 16
Anderlecht
AND
St.Truiden
STT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Anderlecht48%
Draw24%
St.Truiden28%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.38
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.0%
- 1–26.8%
- 2–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
60%Possession56%
47%Territory41%
25%From set plays47%
0.10Chance quality0.19
4.5%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Anderlecht, 2 for St.Truiden. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Anderlecht
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.