Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 15
Westerlo
WES
Gent
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Westerlo38%
Draw28%
Gent35%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.31
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–19.3%
- 2–18.3%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession42%
35%Territory32%
39%From set plays36%
0.13Chance quality0.10
5.7%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Westerlo, 4 for Gent. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.