Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 15
Westerlo
WES
Gent
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Westerlo31%
Draw26%
Gent43%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.62
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–29.0%
- 0–18.6%
- 2–17.4%
- 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession39%
46%Territory28%
18%From set plays8%
0.11Chance quality0.16
3.4%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Westerlo, 2 for Gent. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.