Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 15
St.Truiden
STT
Kortrijk
KOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St.Truiden49%
Draw24%
Kortrijk27%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.33
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–06.9%
- 1–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession40%
41%Territory40%
47%From set plays5%
0.19Chance quality0.12
3.2%Directness9.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for St.Truiden, 1 for Kortrijk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
St.Truiden
Kortrijk
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.