Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 15
St.Truiden
STT
Kortrijk
KOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St.Truiden58%
Draw23%
Kortrijk19%
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.01
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.1%
- 1–110.6%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.7%
- 0–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession52%
38%Territory36%
22%From set plays25%
0.13Chance quality0.08
6.8%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St.Truiden, 4 for Kortrijk.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.