Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 15
Standard Liège
STA
Anderlecht
AND
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Standard Liège31%
Draw27%
Anderlecht43%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.54
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–07.8%
- 2–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession60%
35%Territory47%
47%From set plays25%
0.11Chance quality0.10
7.6%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Standard Liège, 2 for Anderlecht. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.