Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 15
Standard Liège
STA
Anderlecht
AND
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Standard Liège45%
Draw28%
Anderlecht27%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.11
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–011.6%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–08.6%
- 0–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession58%
39%Territory47%
21%From set plays19%
0.19Chance quality0.09
6.2%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Standard Liège, 4 for Anderlecht. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.