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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 15

Union St.Gilloise

UNI

Club Brugge

CLU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Union St.Gilloise47%
Draw27%
Club Brugge26%

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.14

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–011.0%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

57%Possession65%
41%Territory40%
16%From set plays10%
0.09Chance quality0.16
5.6%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Union St.Gilloise, 2 for Club Brugge. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.