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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 15

Union St.Gilloise

UNI

Club Brugge

CLU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Union St.Gilloise51%
Draw25%
Club Brugge24%

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.17

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.2%
  • 1010.0%
  • 219.7%
  • 208.1%
  • 016.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Club Brugge will have the ball; Union St.Gilloise will not mind.

47%Possession57%
41%Territory41%
41%From set plays31%
0.14Chance quality0.10
5.1%Directness3.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Union St.Gilloise, 3 for Club Brugge. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.