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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 15

Lommel

LOM

RAAL La Louvière

RAA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lommel40%
Draw28%
RAAL La Louvière32%

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.27

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

58%Possession44%
36%Territory30%
32%From set plays37%
0.08Chance quality0.12
3.8%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lommel, 2 for RAAL La Louvière. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.