Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 15
Sporting Charleroi
SPO
Genk
GEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting Charleroi39%
Draw27%
Genk34%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.32
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.5%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession63%
33%Territory48%
8%From set plays46%
0.12Chance quality0.12
6.5%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sporting Charleroi, 2 for Genk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting Charleroi
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.