Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 15
Sporting Charleroi
SPO
Genk
GEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting Charleroi44%
Draw27%
Genk29%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.19
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.0%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession53%
37%Territory44%
37%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.12
7.8%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting Charleroi, 3 for Genk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting Charleroi
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.