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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 15

SK Beveren

SKB

KV Mechelen

KVM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

SK Beveren46%
Draw26%
KV Mechelen28%

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.24

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.6%
  • 109.7%
  • 219.3%
  • 207.2%
  • 017.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

KV Mechelen get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

46%Possession52%
35%Territory39%
9%From set plays56%
0.13Chance quality0.11
7.0%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for SK Beveren, 3 for KV Mechelen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.