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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 15

SK Beveren

SKB

KV Mechelen

KVM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

SK Beveren50%
Draw28%
KV Mechelen22%

Expected goals

1.48 – 0.93

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.7%
  • 1–112.3%
  • 0–010.0%
  • 2–09.4%
  • 2–19.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

52%Possession42%
43%Territory39%
18%From set plays10%
0.09Chance quality0.04
5.6%Directness8.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for SK Beveren, 1 for KV Mechelen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

KV Mechelen

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.