Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 15
Royal Antwerp
ROY
OH Leuven
OHL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Royal Antwerp47%
Draw24%
OH Leuven28%
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.38
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.0%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession40%
37%Territory31%
33%From set plays30%
0.18Chance quality0.12
6.7%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Royal Antwerp, 2 for OH Leuven. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.