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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 15

Royal Antwerp

ROY

OH Leuven

OHL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Royal Antwerp47%
Draw24%
OH Leuven28%

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.38

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.6%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 1–26.9%
  • 2–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

51%Possession40%
37%Territory31%
33%From set plays30%
0.18Chance quality0.12
6.7%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Royal Antwerp, 2 for OH Leuven. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.