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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 15

Royal Antwerp

ROY

OH Leuven

OHL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Royal Antwerp41%
Draw26%
OH Leuven33%

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.44

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

48%Possession54%
38%Territory36%
33%From set plays22%
0.08Chance quality0.08
6.7%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Royal Antwerp, 4 for OH Leuven. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.