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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 14

Zulte Waregem

ZUL

Standard Liège

STA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Zulte Waregem46%
Draw27%
Standard Liège27%

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.18

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–17.6%
  • 2–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

40%Possession46%
36%Territory35%
33%From set plays47%
0.15Chance quality0.11
8.0%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Zulte Waregem, 2 for Standard Liège. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.