Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 14
KV Mechelen
KVM
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
KV Mechelen22%
Draw29%
Union St.Gilloise50%
Expected goals
0.85 – 1.40
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–115.1%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–011.6%
- 0–29.8%
- 1–28.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession57%
39%Territory41%
9%From set plays16%
0.04Chance quality0.09
7.2%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for KV Mechelen, 2 for Union St.Gilloise. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
KV Mechelen
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.