Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 14
KV Mechelen
KVM
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
KV Mechelen26%
Draw24%
Union St.Gilloise50%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.81
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–18.8%
- 0–27.3%
- 2–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession47%
39%Territory41%
56%From set plays41%
0.11Chance quality0.14
7.1%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for KV Mechelen, 4 for Union St.Gilloise. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.