Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 14
Kortrijk
KOR
Lommel
LOM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kortrijk45%
Draw28%
Lommel27%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.11
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–011.5%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–08.5%
- 0–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
40%Possession58%
40%Territory36%
5%From set plays32%
0.12Chance quality0.08
9.2%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Kortrijk, 2 for Lommel. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kortrijk
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.