Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 14
Gent
GEN
St.Truiden
STT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gent45%
Draw28%
St.Truiden28%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.13
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–011.4%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–08.5%
- 0–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St.Truiden will have the ball; Gent will not mind.
42%Possession56%
32%Territory38%
36%From set plays22%
0.10Chance quality0.13
8.0%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Gent, 4 for St.Truiden.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.