Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 14
Gent
GEN
St.Truiden
STT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gent48%
Draw25%
St.Truiden28%
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.33
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–06.9%
- 1–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
39%Possession56%
28%Territory41%
8%From set plays47%
0.16Chance quality0.19
6.2%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Gent, 2 for St.Truiden. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.