Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 14
Genk
GEK
OH Leuven
OHL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Genk57%
Draw22%
OH Leuven21%
Expected goals
2.01 – 1.19
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.8%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–08.2%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession40%
48%Territory31%
46%From set plays30%
0.12Chance quality0.12
6.5%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Genk, 2 for OH Leuven. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.