Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 14
Anderlecht
AND
Sporting Charleroi
SPO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Anderlecht35%
Draw29%
Sporting Charleroi36%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.24
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 0–110.8%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–010.0%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sporting Charleroi get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
58%Possession53%
47%Territory37%
19%From set plays37%
0.09Chance quality0.12
3.3%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Anderlecht, 3 for Sporting Charleroi. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.