Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 14
Anderlecht
AND
Sporting Charleroi
SPO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Anderlecht40%
Draw28%
Sporting Charleroi32%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.25
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
60%Possession58%
47%Territory33%
25%From set plays9%
0.10Chance quality0.12
4.5%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Anderlecht, 2 for Sporting Charleroi. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Anderlecht
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.