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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 13

St.Truiden

STT

Genk

GEK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

St.Truiden35%
Draw25%
Genk41%

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.72

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 1–28.5%
  • 2–17.8%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

56%Possession63%
41%Territory48%
47%From set plays46%
0.19Chance quality0.12
3.2%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for St.Truiden, 2 for Genk. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.