Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 13
St.Truiden
STT
Genk
GEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St.Truiden41%
Draw27%
Genk32%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.30
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession53%
38%Territory44%
22%From set plays27%
0.13Chance quality0.12
6.8%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St.Truiden, 3 for Genk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.