Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 13

Union St.Gilloise

UNI

Gent

GEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Union St.Gilloise47%
Draw27%
Gent26%

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.09

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–08.2%
  • 2–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

47%Possession42%
41%Territory32%
41%From set plays36%
0.14Chance quality0.10
5.1%Directness8.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Union St.Gilloise, 4 for Gent.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.