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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 13

Union St.Gilloise

UNI

Gent

GEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Union St.Gilloise46%
Draw29%
Gent26%

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.01

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.9%
  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–010.1%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

57%Possession39%
41%Territory28%
17%From set plays8%
0.08Chance quality0.16
6.1%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Union St.Gilloise, 2 for Gent. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.