Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 13
Lommel
LOM
Zulte Waregem
ZUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lommel35%
Draw28%
Zulte Waregem37%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.34
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–09.6%
- 0–08.4%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession48%
28%Territory44%
24%From set plays28%
0.09Chance quality0.09
5.9%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lommel, 3 for Zulte Waregem. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.