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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 13

Lommel

LOM

Zulte Waregem

ZUL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lommel37%
Draw29%
Zulte Waregem34%

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.23

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 0–09.3%
  • 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

58%Possession40%
36%Territory36%
32%From set plays33%
0.08Chance quality0.15
3.8%Directness8.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lommel, 2 for Zulte Waregem. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.