Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 13
OH Leuven
OHL
Kortrijk
KOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
OH Leuven45%
Draw26%
Kortrijk29%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.31
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–27.1%
- 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
40%Possession40%
31%Territory40%
30%From set plays5%
0.12Chance quality0.12
5.9%Directness9.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for OH Leuven, 1 for Kortrijk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kortrijk
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.