Skip to content

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 13

OH Leuven

OHL

Kortrijk

KOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

OH Leuven46%
Draw28%
Kortrijk26%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.07

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.5%
  • 1012.0%
  • 219.2%
  • 009.0%
  • 018.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

54%Possession52%
36%Territory36%
22%From set plays25%
0.08Chance quality0.08
6.4%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for OH Leuven, 4 for Kortrijk.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.