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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 13

Sporting Charleroi

SPO

SK Beveren

SKB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sporting Charleroi52%
Draw25%
SK Beveren23%

Expected goals

1.73 – 1.11

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.3%
  • 1010.7%
  • 219.7%
  • 208.5%
  • 006.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sporting Charleroi get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

53%Possession46%
37%Territory35%
37%From set plays9%
0.12Chance quality0.13
7.8%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting Charleroi, 3 for SK Beveren. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.