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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 13

Sporting Charleroi

SPO

SK Beveren

SKB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sporting Charleroi52%
Draw26%
SK Beveren22%

Expected goals

1.66 – 1.04

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.7%
  • 1–111.7%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–09.0%
  • 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

58%Possession52%
33%Territory43%
8%From set plays15%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.5%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sporting Charleroi, 2 for SK Beveren. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.