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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 13

Cercle Brugge

CER

KV Mechelen

KVM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cercle Brugge43%
Draw29%
KV Mechelen28%

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.08

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–012.2%
  • 0–09.7%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

37%Possession42%
26%Territory39%
34%From set plays10%
0.16Chance quality0.04
6.2%Directness8.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Cercle Brugge, 1 for KV Mechelen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

KV Mechelen

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.