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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 13

Royal Antwerp

ROY

Anderlecht

AND

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Royal Antwerp33%
Draw27%
Anderlecht40%

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.47

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Anderlecht will have the ball; Royal Antwerp will not mind.

48%Possession58%
38%Territory47%
33%From set plays19%
0.08Chance quality0.09
6.7%Directness3.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Royal Antwerp, 4 for Anderlecht. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.