Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 12
Lommel
LOM
Standard Liège
STA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lommel42%
Draw26%
Standard Liège31%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.32
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession46%
36%Territory35%
32%From set plays47%
0.08Chance quality0.11
3.8%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lommel, 2 for Standard Liège. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.