Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 12
Kortrijk
KOR
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kortrijk28%
Draw29%
Union St.Gilloise43%
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.36
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–112.3%
- 0–010.0%
- 1–09.4%
- 1–28.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
40%Possession57%
40%Territory41%
5%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.08
9.2%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Kortrijk, 2 for Union St.Gilloise. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kortrijk
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.