Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 12
Kortrijk
KOR
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kortrijk21%
Draw24%
Union St.Gilloise55%
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.81
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 0–110.8%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.1%
- 0–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Union St.Gilloise get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession47%
36%Territory41%
25%From set plays41%
0.08Chance quality0.14
6.4%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Kortrijk, 4 for Union St.Gilloise.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.