Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 12
Genk
GEK
RAAL La Louvière
RAA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Genk58%
Draw23%
RAAL La Louvière19%
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.00
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.2%
- 1–110.6%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.8%
- 0–06.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession44%
48%Territory30%
46%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.11
6.5%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Genk, 2 for RAAL La Louvière. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.