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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 12

Genk

GEK

RAAL La Louvière

RAA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Genk51%
Draw25%
RAAL La Louvière24%

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.15

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.2%
  • 1010.2%
  • 219.7%
  • 208.2%
  • 016.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Genk will have the ball; RAAL La Louvière will not mind.

53%Possession33%
44%Territory28%
27%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.13
4.7%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Genk, 3 for RAAL La Louvière. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.