Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 12
Sporting Charleroi
SPO
St.Truiden
STT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting Charleroi50%
Draw24%
St.Truiden26%
Expected goals
1.91 – 1.37
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–07.7%
- 2–06.7%
- 2–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession56%
33%Territory41%
8%From set plays47%
0.12Chance quality0.19
6.5%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sporting Charleroi, 2 for St.Truiden. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting Charleroi
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.