Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 12
Sporting Charleroi
SPO
St.Truiden
STT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting Charleroi47%
Draw25%
St.Truiden28%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.27
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–07.1%
- 1–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sporting Charleroi get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession56%
37%Territory38%
37%From set plays22%
0.12Chance quality0.13
7.8%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting Charleroi, 4 for St.Truiden. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting Charleroi
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.