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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 12

Cercle Brugge

CER

Westerlo

WES

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cercle Brugge38%
Draw25%
Westerlo36%

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.58

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

65%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.7%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–28.1%
  • 1–07.0%
  • 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

37%Possession48%
26%Territory46%
34%From set plays18%
0.16Chance quality0.11
6.2%Directness3.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Cercle Brugge, 2 for Westerlo. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.