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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 12

SK Beveren

SKB

Gent

GEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

SK Beveren33%
Draw29%
Gent38%

Expected goals

1.20 – 1.30

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.0%
  • 0–111.0%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 0–09.5%
  • 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

52%Possession39%
43%Territory28%
15%From set plays8%
0.09Chance quality0.16
5.4%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for SK Beveren, 2 for Gent. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.