Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 12
Anderlecht
AND
OH Leuven
OHL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Anderlecht47%
Draw29%
OH Leuven24%
Expected goals
1.41 – 0.95
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.7%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–010.6%
- 2–19.0%
- 2–08.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession54%
47%Territory36%
19%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.08
3.3%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Anderlecht, 4 for OH Leuven.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.