Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 12
Anderlecht
AND
OH Leuven
OHL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Anderlecht50%
Draw25%
OH Leuven25%
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.23
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–07.6%
- 1–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
60%Possession40%
47%Territory31%
25%From set plays30%
0.10Chance quality0.12
4.5%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Anderlecht, 2 for OH Leuven. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Anderlecht
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.