Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 11
Westerlo
WES
Sporting Charleroi
SPO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Westerlo30%
Draw25%
Sporting Charleroi45%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.76
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–17.8%
- 2–17.2%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession58%
46%Territory33%
18%From set plays9%
0.11Chance quality0.12
3.4%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Westerlo, 2 for Sporting Charleroi. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.