Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 11
Westerlo
WES
Sporting Charleroi
SPO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Westerlo38%
Draw26%
Sporting Charleroi36%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.50
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.1%
- 1–07.8%
- 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession53%
35%Territory37%
39%From set plays37%
0.13Chance quality0.12
5.7%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Westerlo, 3 for Sporting Charleroi. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.