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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 11

St.Truiden

STT

Zulte Waregem

ZUL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

St.Truiden49%
Draw24%
Zulte Waregem27%

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.31

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.7%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 1–08.6%
  • 2–07.0%
  • 1–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

56%Possession40%
41%Territory36%
47%From set plays33%
0.19Chance quality0.15
3.2%Directness8.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for St.Truiden, 2 for Zulte Waregem. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.