Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 11
St.Truiden
STT
Zulte Waregem
ZUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St.Truiden45%
Draw26%
Zulte Waregem28%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.23
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.5%
- 2–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession48%
38%Territory44%
22%From set plays28%
0.13Chance quality0.09
6.8%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St.Truiden, 3 for Zulte Waregem. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.