Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 11
Standard Liège
STA
SK Beveren
SKB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Standard Liège50%
Draw25%
SK Beveren25%
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.20
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–07.8%
- 0–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession46%
39%Territory35%
21%From set plays9%
0.19Chance quality0.13
6.2%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Standard Liège, 3 for SK Beveren. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.