Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 11
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
Genk
GEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Union St.Gilloise42%
Draw28%
Genk30%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.17
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.1%
- 0–19.1%
- 0–08.8%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession63%
41%Territory48%
17%From set plays46%
0.08Chance quality0.12
6.1%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Union St.Gilloise, 2 for Genk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Union St.Gilloise
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.