Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 11
OH Leuven
OHL
KV Mechelen
KVM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
OH Leuven41%
Draw27%
KV Mechelen32%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.29
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.4%
- 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
KV Mechelen get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession52%
36%Territory39%
22%From set plays56%
0.08Chance quality0.11
6.4%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for OH Leuven, 3 for KV Mechelen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
OH Leuven
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.