Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 11
OH Leuven
OHL
KV Mechelen
KVM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
OH Leuven52%
Draw26%
KV Mechelen22%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.04
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.6%
- 1–111.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
40%Possession41%
31%Territory39%
30%From set plays9%
0.12Chance quality0.04
5.9%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for OH Leuven, 1 for KV Mechelen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
KV Mechelen
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.