Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 11
Gent
GEN
Kortrijk
KOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gent58%
Draw25%
Kortrijk17%
Expected goals
1.67 – 0.82
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.4%
- 2–011.3%
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–09.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Kortrijk will have the ball; Gent will not mind.
42%Possession52%
32%Territory36%
36%From set plays25%
0.10Chance quality0.08
8.0%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Gent, 4 for Kortrijk.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.