Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 11
Gent
GEN
Kortrijk
KOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gent50%
Draw27%
Kortrijk23%
Expected goals
1.53 – 0.99
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.8%
- 1–112.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 0–09.0%
- 2–09.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
39%Possession40%
28%Territory40%
8%From set plays5%
0.16Chance quality0.12
6.2%Directness9.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Gent, 1 for Kortrijk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kortrijk
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.