Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 11
Club Brugge
CLU
Anderlecht
AND
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Club Brugge44%
Draw29%
Anderlecht27%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.03
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–012.8%
- 0–010.3%
- 0–19.3%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
57%Possession58%
41%Territory47%
31%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.09
3.9%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Club Brugge, 4 for Anderlecht. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.