Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 11
Royal Antwerp
ROY
Lommel
LOM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Royal Antwerp41%
Draw25%
Lommel34%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.49
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–27.8%
- 1–07.6%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession48%
38%Territory28%
33%From set plays24%
0.08Chance quality0.09
6.7%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Royal Antwerp, 3 for Lommel. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Royal Antwerp
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.