Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 11
Royal Antwerp
ROY
Lommel
LOM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Royal Antwerp50%
Draw26%
Lommel24%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.13
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.2%
- 0–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession58%
37%Territory36%
27%From set plays32%
0.17Chance quality0.08
6.4%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Royal Antwerp, 2 for Lommel. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.