Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 10
St.Truiden
STT
OH Leuven
OHL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St.Truiden53%
Draw25%
OH Leuven22%
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.09
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.8%
- 0–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession54%
38%Territory36%
22%From set plays22%
0.13Chance quality0.08
6.8%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St.Truiden, 4 for OH Leuven.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.