Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 10
Standard Liège
STA
Kortrijk
KOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Standard Liège59%
Draw23%
Kortrijk18%
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.00
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.9%
- 1–110.3%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.8%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession52%
39%Territory36%
21%From set plays25%
0.19Chance quality0.08
6.2%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Standard Liège, 4 for Kortrijk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.