Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 10
KV Mechelen
KVM
Genk
GEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
KV Mechelen32%
Draw27%
Genk41%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.47
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 0–19.6%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
KV Mechelen get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession53%
39%Territory44%
56%From set plays27%
0.11Chance quality0.12
7.1%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for KV Mechelen, 3 for Genk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.