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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 10

Cercle Brugge

CER

Royal Antwerp

ROY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cercle Brugge50%
Draw24%
Royal Antwerp25%

Expected goals

1.83 – 1.28

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.6%
  • 219.6%
  • 108.8%
  • 207.3%
  • 126.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

53%Possession48%
37%Territory38%
38%From set plays33%
0.08Chance quality0.08
4.8%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cercle Brugge, 3 for Royal Antwerp. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Cercle Brugge

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.