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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 10

SK Beveren

SKB

Union St.Gilloise

UNI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

SK Beveren29%
Draw26%
Union St.Gilloise45%

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.64

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.5%
  • 019.4%
  • 129.3%
  • 107.1%
  • 217.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Union St.Gilloise get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

46%Possession47%
35%Territory41%
9%From set plays41%
0.13Chance quality0.14
7.0%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for SK Beveren, 4 for Union St.Gilloise. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.