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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 10

Anderlecht

AND

Westerlo

WES

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Anderlecht40%
Draw28%
Westerlo32%

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.24

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Anderlecht will have the ball; Westerlo will not mind.

58%Possession47%
47%Territory35%
19%From set plays39%
0.09Chance quality0.13
3.3%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Anderlecht, 3 for Westerlo. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.