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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 9

Westerlo

WES

SK Beveren

SKB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Westerlo48%
Draw25%
SK Beveren27%

Expected goals

1.73 – 1.28

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.1%
  • 219.4%
  • 109.0%
  • 207.1%
  • 126.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Westerlo get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

47%Possession46%
35%Territory35%
39%From set plays9%
0.13Chance quality0.13
5.7%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Westerlo, 3 for SK Beveren. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.