Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 9
OH Leuven
OHL
Lommel
LOM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
OH Leuven41%
Draw28%
Lommel31%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.20
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession48%
36%Territory28%
22%From set plays24%
0.08Chance quality0.09
6.4%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for OH Leuven, 3 for Lommel. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
OH Leuven
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.