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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 9

Kortrijk

KOR

KV Mechelen

KVM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kortrijk48%
Draw29%
KV Mechelen23%

Expected goals

1.39 – 0.91

Over 2.5

40%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.3%
  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–011.1%
  • 2–09.2%
  • 0–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

40%Possession41%
40%Territory39%
5%From set plays9%
0.12Chance quality0.04
9.2%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Kortrijk, 1 for KV Mechelen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

KV Mechelen

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.