Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 9
Genk
GEK
Standard Liège
STA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Genk43%
Draw27%
Standard Liège31%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.28
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–27.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession50%
44%Territory39%
27%From set plays21%
0.12Chance quality0.19
4.7%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Genk, 3 for Standard Liège. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.